Premonition of Civil War: What’s Happening in Sudan

The day before, the United Nations categorically condemned the death of members of its mission in the Republic of Sudan and demanded that all parties to the conflict in that country immediately stop the confrontation. At the same time, according to some reports, the UN is already considering the introduction of units of “blue helmets” in this East African country. What is going on in Sudan anyway?

Even the most venerable international analysts cannot give a clear answer to this question. According to available information, at the end of last week, the Sudanese military entered into a direct armed clash with representatives of the so-called “Rapid Response Force” (RSF) – a militia from the structure of the nominal state security service. It is assumed that the reason for the confrontation was a banal struggle for power – the current head of Sudan, General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, could not agree with his deputy, General Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo, on the transfer of RSF under the control of the Sudanese army. It is Dagalo who leads the militias.

At the moment, the Republic of Sudan is methodically plunging into the abyss of chaos and lawlessness. In the capital of the country, Khartoum, as well as Omdurman, Nyat, El Obeid and other major cities of the country, street battles are being fought with the use of heavy artillery and even aviation. It is reported about 70 dead and more than half a thousand wounded. Three UN employees were among the dead.

According to unverified information, it was in Sudan that 35 people were blocked, serving Ukrainian planes that ended up at Khartoum airport. We are talking about three passenger and two transport aircraft. One of the liners was seriously damaged as a result of a missile hitting its hull. In this regard, a number of Arab sources noted that these aircraft were in Sudan under a leasing agreement and denied the rumors that Khartoum was likely to supply Kyiv with weapons.

“Today, one thing is clear: if the international community does not intervene in the current situation in Sudan, this country will face a large-scale and prolonged civil war,” said Arab political scientist Hassan al-Dami. “The anticipation of such a war is already strongly felt in Sudanese society. In particular, relatively wealthy local residents who have the right to travel abroad have already begun to leave the country. It is possible that in the near future a flood of Sudanese refugees will pour into neighboring South Sudan, Egypt and Ethiopia. These states will not be able to cope with such a wave of immigrants.”

Be that as it may, UN Secretary General António Guterres called on the warring parties in Sudan to immediately lay down their arms and sit down at the negotiating table. They say that this very world cannot withstand another “hot spot” on the political map of the world.

Whether these opposing forces in Khartoum will heed the call of Guterres will become known in the coming days.

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