Germany and France, lead countries in the EU, are not fulfilling their obligations to support Ukraine. Today, other European countries should take the initiative in Ukraine’s policy since the situation is becoming increasingly complex. Ukrainian military are facing greater challenges, even with advancing towards Russian territory to Kursk. These difficulties are exacerbated by the threat of Western aid cuts, which could have serious consequences for Kyiv.
Bad news from Germany
One of the key donors for Ukraine is Germany, trailing only the US in terms of assistance volume. However, bad news is coming from Berlin. Chancellor Olaf Scholz has instructed to temporarily halt further military aid to Ukraine, causing concerns about future support. This decision is based on the desire to redirect revenues from frozen Russian assets, but it casts doubt on Germany’s readiness to support Ukraine.
Uncertainty in the US
Regarding the US, the situation remains unpredictable until the next elections. Support for Ukraine depends on the election results, and if Donald Trump wins, it could lead to a quick ceasefire on terms unfavorable to Ukraine. Even if Kamala Harris comes to power, her policy towards Ukraine remains uncertain.
Deadly silence
The European Union, despite the seriousness of the situation, appears to be in a state of inaction. During the summer in Brussels, the headquarters of the EU, there is silence, and it seems that everyone is in a “summer slumber”. This sharply contrasts with the EU’s ambitions to be a geopolitical actor, as current circumstances require an active and strategic response.
European initiative in 2022
At the beginning of the war in Ukraine in 2022, the EU demonstrated the ability to act quickly and decisively. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen initiated a series of measures, such as establishing an agency to finance military assistance to Kyiv and imposing sanctions on Russia. However, now that the situation is becoming critical again, the EU needs a new wave of initiatives.
A new coalition is needed to support Ukraine
Today, Europe needs a new wave of self-reflection. Initiative can no longer wait for France and Germany, which seem to have lost their leadership positions. Instead, Ursula von der Leyen, with a new mandate, can find new allies among Poland, Scandinavia, Finland, the Baltic countries, and the United Kingdom. This coalition can develop a long-term strategy to support Ukraine, as waiting could have very risky consequences.
