Is the “Munich Agreement” 2.0 threatening Ukraine?

Recently, the Prime Minister of Slovakia, Robert Fico, expressed the opinion that Ukraine could become a victim of a deal similar to the Munich Agreement of 1938. According to him, this agreement could lead to the loss of parts of Ukrainian territories under pressure from major powers. This statement underscores the importance of international support for Ukraine, as its future depends on the positions and actions of key partners. Are there real risks for Ukraine and what does the Munich Agreement itself represent? Let’s take a look together.

What is the Munich Agreement of 1938?

The Munich Agreement was a deal signed on September 30, 1938 by representatives of Great Britain, France, Italy, and Nazi Germany. The purpose of the agreement was to “appease” Adolf Hitler, who demanded the Sudetenland region of Czechoslovakia to be handed over to him. The agreement was made without the participation of Czechoslovakia itself, and the country was forced to cede part of its territories to Germany. This step led to a significant weakening of the country and served as a prelude to the start of World War II.

According to Fico, the situation with Ukraine may resemble this historical episode. Compromises regarding Ukrainian territories may be proposed to major powers for peace with Russia, putting Ukraine in a very difficult position.

Ukraine in negotiations: differences and challenges

Unlike Czechoslovakia in 1938, Ukraine is actively present on the international stage now. Kyiv is involved in many diplomatic processes and demands firm positions on its borders from allies. However, as in the case of Czechoslovakia, the main problem lies in the fact that the ultimate fate of the country may depend not only on its own decisions, but also on the actions of major global players.

Prime Minister Fico’s statements suggest that President Volodymyr Zelensky and the Ukrainian government should be prepared for negotiations that may require compromises. While comparisons to the Munich Agreement may seem ominous, Ukraine continues to receive support from the West, significantly improving the situation. However, such negotiations and compromises can only be on the table if international partners show proper support.

Support from Partners – Key to Victory

One of the main aspects that can prevent a repetition of the “Munich scenario” for Ukraine is strong international support. The United States, European Union, United Kingdom, and other partners have repeatedly expressed their readiness to assist Ukraine to full victory. The importance of such support cannot be overstated, as without it, Ukraine may find itself isolated and under pressure from other states.

However, it is important to understand that a key difference between modern Ukraine and Czechoslovakia in 1938 is its own army, which is fighting on the front lines and already demonstrating its readiness to defend territorial integrity. Western partners also continue to provide arms and financial assistance, enhancing Ukraine’s defense capabilities.

And the most crucial factor – politicians already have a historical episode that proved: such agreements are ineffective. Deterring the aggressor in this manner does not work, and this gives Ukrainians hope that the Munich history will not repeat itself now.

Named by Their True Names

Another important point in Robert Fico’s statement became significant. Despite Slovakia frequently declaring things controversial for Ukraine, here their prime minister essentially directly compared the Third Reich with modern Russian actions. This is crucial because it means that even countries that do not express direct condemnation of Kremlin aggression understand their historical role and position.

Conclusion

The threat of a new “Munich Agreement” only exists if the international community shows weakness and agrees to concessions to the aggressor. However, in the current geopolitical situation, Ukraine has all the chances to avoid this scenario, provided that it maintains support from the West. It is important for Ukrainian partners to continue providing assistance and clearly express their position on the inadmissibility of any territorial concessions.

Ukraine is fighting for its right to existence and its own borders, and only through joint efforts with allies it will be able to avoid the trap that Czechoslovakia once failed to avoid.