On January 29, 2025, the first round of presidential elections took place in Croatia. According to the voting results, the incumbent president Zoran Milanovic, representing the opposition party of social democrats, received the highest support with 49.09% of the votes. The second round is scheduled for January 12, 2025, where Milanovic will face the candidate from the ruling “Croatian Democratic Union” Dragan Primorac, who garnered 19.35%.
Who is Zoran Milanovic?
Zoran Milanovic is a well-known politician whose pro-Russian statements have caused controversy. He publicly stated that Crimea will never return under Ukraine’s control due to the possibility of nuclear escalation from Russia. Milanovic also does not support the involvement of Croatian troops in NATO activities aimed at supporting Ukraine’s security.
One of the most resonant statements by the politician concerns the Ukrainian slogan “Glory to Ukraine!”, which he called “chauvinistic” and rejected any use of it in Croatia.
Political Powers of the President of Croatia
The President of Croatia has limited domestic political functions but plays a key role in foreign policy, defense, and security issues. He also formally serves as the supreme commander of the Armed Forces. The election of the incumbent president, known for his pro-Russian views, could significantly influence Croatia’s international course.
Possible Implications for Ukraine
The re-election of Zoran Milanovic for a second term may strengthen pro-Russian sentiments in Europe and create additional challenges for Ukraine. His statements about Crimea and negative attitude towards NATO indicate a possible isolation of Ukraine from parts of Croatian politics.
- Weakening of NATO support. Milanovic may hinder Croatia’s participation in Alliance programs aimed at strengthening Ukraine’s security.
- Loss of diplomatic support. Ukraine risks losing Croatia as an ally in the fight against Russian aggression.
- Spread of pro-Russian sentiments in the region. Success of a pro-Russian candidate may stimulate similar movements in other Eastern European countries.
Why is this important?
The European Union, of which Croatia is a member, plays a key role in supporting Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression. A change in the foreign policy course of even one member country can have a significant impact on unity in addressing key issues.
The election of Milanovic could also serve as a signal to other European politicians with pro-Russian views that such positions could gain popularity among voters. This not only threatens Ukraine but also the stability of the entire region.
Conclusion
The presidential elections in Croatia have become an important marker of political sentiments in Europe. The victory of Zoran Milanovic in the first round and his potential re-election are alarming signals for Ukraine and its allies. The second round is expected in January 2025, the result of which will have long-term consequences for Croatia’s foreign policy, European unity, and support for Ukraine in its fight for independence.
Ukraine and its allies need to closely monitor events in Croatia, as the results of these elections could change the balance of power in Europe and influence the course of history.
