The war in Ukraine has become a turning point for the world aviation industry, opening up new opportunities for China. It is interesting to see how Beijing gradually strengthens its influence in the aviation transport sector between China and Europe, displacing European competitors.
Chinese Airlines: Leaders of the New Market
Prior to the pandemic, China controlled about 50% of the flights between China and Europe. Today, this share has increased to 80%. European airlines are forced to reduce or even cancel flights to China due to the ban on using Russian airspace, significantly increasing the duration and cost of flights.
Meanwhile, Chinese carriers, as well as airlines from other countries that do not support sanctions against Russia, continue to fly along regular routes. This gives China a significant competitive advantage and allows them to capture a market that was previously held by European carriers.
Attack on Boeing and Airbus Dominance
China is not only strengthening its position in aviation transport, but also actively working to reduce its dependence on leading aviation manufacturers – Boeing and Airbus. Comac, the state manufacturer of the first Chinese passenger aircraft C919, is aiming to obtain international certificates for flights outside the country.
In 2023, the C919 made its first commercial flight, and is now actively used on domestic routes by three leading Chinese airlines: Air China, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines. From January 2025, China Eastern Airlines will start flying the C919 between Hong Kong and Shanghai, becoming the first regular international route for this aircraft.
Is there a Response from the EU?
The European Union currently lacks effective tools to counter the growing influence of China in the aviation market. The situation is complicated by both economic and geopolitical factors. China skillfully takes advantage of the opportunity, strengthening its influence in the aviation transport and aircraft manufacturing sectors.
The Future of Global Aviation
China is demonstrating its ambitious strategy aimed at dominating the aviation industry. The increasing influence of Chinese carriers and the international market entry of the C919 aircraft could shift the balance of power in this sector, creating new challenges for European and American competitors.
