On March 18, a phone call took place between US President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin. The Kremlin stated that Moscow is ready for a 30-day ceasefire with Ukraine, but under certain conditions.
Among the main requirements:
- Halting mobilization in Ukraine.
- Suspending the rearmament of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
- Control over the cessation of fire along the entire front line.
According to the Kremlin, Trump proposed a mutual agreement to refrain from strikes on energy infrastructure for 30 days, and Putin supported this initiative. He reportedly has already given corresponding orders to his military.
Can Putin’s promises be trusted?
Analysts and military experts express serious doubts about the Kremlin’s true motives. Many international consultants emphasize that the proposed ceasefire could be part of Russia’s strategy to regroup and gather forces.
In particular, there are concerns that Russia may use the pause to:
- Strengthen its army and mobilize reserves towards key directions.
- Prepare for a new offensive on Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhya.
- Change tactics in combat operations, adapting to the actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
What about sanctions against Russia?
Political experts also note that any negotiations between the US and Russia could impact Western sanctions policy. Some European countries are already expressing concerns that in the event of agreements between Trump and Putin, the sanctions pressure on Russia may weaken.
Prisoner exchange and “gesture of goodwill”
After negotiations, the Kremlin announced that Russia and Ukraine are preparing to exchange prisoners according to the 175 to 175 formula. In addition, Moscow supposedly agreed to transfer 23 severely wounded Ukrainian soldiers to Ukraine.
However, many observers believe that such “gestures of goodwill” are just part of the Kremlin’s information game aimed at creating the illusion of “peaceful initiatives.”
Will Ukraine agree to these conditions?
Official Kyiv has not yet commented on the possibility of a 30-day ceasefire. The government of Ukraine has repeatedly stated that any negotiations with Russia are only possible after the complete withdrawal of occupying forces from the country’s territory.
At the same time, the Ukrainian military leadership understands the risks of such a ceasefire. Instead, there is active cooperation with international partners to strengthen Ukraine’s defense capabilities.
Conclusion: A fragile initiative with possible consequences
The ceasefire proposed by the Kremlin is not a peaceful gesture but another tactical trap. Russia could use this pause to strengthen its army and prepare for a new offensive.
Therefore, it is crucial for Ukraine to maintain defensive mobility, not weaken international support, and carefully analyze any diplomatic initiatives that may have hidden threats.
