Donald Trump’s two top advisers – Keith Kellogg and Fred Fleitz presented him with a strategy to end the Russian-Ukrainian war, which will be implemented if he wins the election. According to Reuters, the plan involves continuing military aid to Ukraine on the condition that Kyiv starts peaceful negotiations with Moscow.
Warning to Russia
The US will also warn Russia that refusing to negotiate will lead to increased American military support for Ukraine. This was stated by Keith Kellogg in an interview. Kellogg and Fleitz emphasize the importance of quickly organizing peaceful negotiations between Russia and Ukraine to achieve a ceasefire based on the current front line.
Kellogg and Fleitz presented their plan to Trump, and according to Fleitz, he reacted positively. However, analysts caution that only statements made by Trump himself or authorized members of his campaign should be considered official.
Potential Shift in US Policy
If Trump wins the election, it could result in a significant shift in US policy towards Ukraine. The plan developed by Kellogg and Fleitz is the most detailed among all of Trump’s proposals that promise a quick resolution to the conflict.
The Kremlin and the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs have not yet commented on this plan. Trump has repeatedly stated that he could end the war in 24 hours, but has not provided details.
Good or Bad for Ukraine
According to Fleitz, the plan does not require Ukraine to formally cede territory, although regaining full control of all territory in the near future is unlikely. Kellogg and Fleitz noted that additional security guarantees, including significant arming of Ukraine, are needed for lasting peace.
In President Biden’s team’s view, Trump is not interested in confronting Putin. They emphasize that Trump often praises Putin and has no intention of fighting for democracy.
Some analysts are concerned that the Kellogg-Briand Pact could give Moscow an advantage in negotiations. They believe that the proposed process essentially forces Ukraine to give up territories occupied by Russia.
