The return of Donald Trump to the US presidency could impact global politics in unexpected ways. According to Kurt Volker, former US Special Representative for Ukraine, Trump may take a more aggressive stance than the current Biden administration, which could influence the behavior of Vladimir Putin. Why could this be a decisive factor in restraining the Russian president? Let’s explore further.
Trump and his readiness to use force
Unlike the Biden administration, which, in Volker’s opinion, is not always ready to actively use the military force of the United States, Trump is likely to be much more decisive in his actions. Volker recalled how military force was used against Iranian General Qasem Soleimani during Trump’s presidency, demonstrating Trump’s readiness for quick and bold decisions. The former president also actively used economic levers, imposing tariffs even against allies, believing it protected American interests.
As a politician, Trump has always emphasized the importance of supporting American business and readiness to defend US national interests even at the expense of tough measures. This decisiveness could serve as a signal to Putin that in case of provocative actions against US allies or Western interests, the response could be immediate.
How will America influence Russia?
Volker believes that Putin will be forced to act more restrained if Trump becomes president. “Trump may be a president who is willing to apply US force and effort when needed,” Volker noted. He added that Trump, as a leader, is capable of a more unpredictable reaction, which will be a significant deterrent for the Kremlin. Putin understands that in case of weak foreign policy, he can act more boldly, but with Trump at the helm of the US, he is likely to choose a more cautious approach.
The Kremlin’s stance and future elections
It is important to note that Moscow closely monitors the political situation in the USA. If Trump wins the election, the Kremlin will have to take into account the change in the course of American foreign policy, which may reduce Russia’s appetite for aggressive actions. Anticipating this, Volodymyr Zelensky, as reported, is already planning to engage in dialogue with the potential President Trump to maintain support for Ukraine.
Consequences for Ukraine and Europe
Ukraine and Europe are also preparing for possible changes in US policy. On the one hand, Trump’s more aggressive stance toward Putin may contribute to security in the region. On the other hand, Trump’s unpredictability may cause concern among European allies, who may face tougher demands from the US on defense spending.
Conclusion: How Will the US Election Impact Global Security?
A potential Trump presidency becomes a crucial factor for global stability. Many experts point out that the relations between the US and Russia will depend on whether American policy will be tough and unpredictable. In this case, as experience shows, the deterrent effect could be quite strong, ensuring greater stability on the world stage.
